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Posts Tagged ‘Deripaska’

Potanin backs Norilsk’s role in Rusal fight

“Vladimir Potanin, the Russian tycoon, has defended controversial actions by the management of Norilsk Nickel during his bitter battle for control of the mining company with rival Oleg Deripaska, insisting that they have protected shareholder value. In his most extensive comments since the conflict flared up again last year, Mr Potanin told the Financial Times that his Interros holding company and Norilsk’s managers were not acting together against Mr Deripaska’s Rusal.

The dispute became public after Rusal ended up with three board directors at last June’s annual shareholder vote, against Interros’s four. The aluminium group accuses Norilsk’s management of manipulating the vote in favour of Mr Potanin’s group.

Mr Potanin said tensions had simmered for six months before June’s shareholder meeting, after Rusal representatives on the board voted against Norilsk’s 2010 budget, demanding it should include big dividend payments.”

Source: Financial Times, May 8 2011

Observations:

  • Despite holding 25% of the ownership of Norilsk Nickel and being on the company’s board, mr. Deripaska has not managed to exert control over the miner. Although Potanin’s Interros does not hold a majority in the board, it can count on the support of Norilsk’s management to control the course of the company.
  • Board composition is depicted below:

Implications:

  • Rusal’s ally Metalloinvest, which holds 4% of Norilsk, is seeking to merge with the company. By trying to increase its share in the open market it could change the voting dynamics in future shareholder meetings to bring control over the company to Rusal’s side, enabling a friendly merger.
  • Deripaska has announced not to sell Rusal’s 25% stake, but Interros will try anything to ensure he will not gain control. One of the current actions of the company to prevent Rusal from gaining control is a share buyback program via Norilsk’s subsidiary Corbiere Holdings. Together with Metalloinvest’s attempts to increase its stake this creates strong demand for the company’s shares.

©2011 | Wilfred Visser | thebusinessofmining.com

Rusal Net Profit More Than Triples

April 1, 2011 Comments off

“United Co. Rusal PLC said Thursday its net profit more than tripled last year on higher aluminum prices and a strong contribution from 25%-owned OAO Norilsk Nickel. The Russian aluminum giant plans to nearly double capital spending this year to boost capacity in the face of growing aluminum demand.

Rusal CEO Oleg Deripaska said in a statement the company’s strong net-profit growth was driven by significant increases in demand for aluminum and metal prices, and the company expects global demand for aluminium to grow 8% to 43.8 million metric tons this year. He also said aluminum prices will likely remain in a range of $2,500-$2,600 per ton until the end of the year, due to underlying demand and continuing weakness in the U.S. dollar. Prices were volatile last year, ranging from less than $2,000 per ton to as high as $2,500 per ton, he said.”

Source: Wall Street Journal, March 31 2011

Observations:

  • The largest part of annual profit ($2.44bln out of $2.87bln) comes from the share in Norilsk Nickel, a low-cost nickel producer.
  • Bauxite output of the company increased 4% to 11.8mln tons. Rusal operates 8 mines in Guinea and Guyana.

Implications:

  • Cost increase in both alumina and electricity has driven the industry’s break-even price to above $2,200/ton. Predicted demand increases faster than supply, potentially leading to further price increases. However, large trading stocks could supplement supply and keep the price relatively low for several years.
  • Increasing demand partly comes from copper substitution. Rusal benefits in the long term from the high copper price as manufacturers search for alternatives to copper wires.

©2011 | Wilfred Visser | thebusinessofmining.com